War With Iran: Political, Military, and Economic ConsequencesRowman & Littlefield Publishers, 19/02/2013 - 264 من الصفحات War With Iran: Political, Military and Economic Consequences provides readers both a history of Iran’s relationship with the West and an expert’s estimation of what the political, human and financial costs of full-scale war with Iran might be. Authors Geoffrey Kemp and John Allen Gay of the Center for the National Interest utilize their years studying and informing America’s foreign policy in the Middle East to bring to life the possible outcomes of an American military intervention in Iran. Such a decision would not only have catastrophic consequences on the Persian Gulf, but would also endanger the whole world’s delicate economy by heightening instability in an already fragile but resource-rich region. Written for anyone with an interest in the future of American foreign policy, War With Iran explores what every player has at stake in the current crisis by analyzing every tension adjacent to it; from America’s staunch support of Israel to Iran’s own dogged pursuit of a nuclear weapon. Controversial, timely and thoroughly researched, this story stands as a preliminary caution against what would be a devastating meltdown of diplomacy, for which—if peace be the goal—there is always time. |
المحتوى
1 | |
5 | |
Choosing to Attack | 29 |
How an Attack Might Work | 43 |
Irans Retaliation | 77 |
Evolving Crisis Challenging Exit | 97 |
Regional Oil | 103 |
Oil and War | 109 |
Economic Consequences | 135 |
Conclusionsthe Challenge of Getting Out the Costs of Staying Home | 151 |
International Policies and Actions toward Iran | 165 |
Military Section Appendixes | 205 |
Economic Section Appendixes | 229 |
Select Bibliography | 243 |
251 | |
About the Authors | 253 |
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عبارات ومصطلحات مألوفة
Abqaiq Afghanistan Ahmadinejad air defenses aircraft American Arab attack on Iran Azerbaijan Bahrain barrels per day bomb campaign capacity centrifuges China conflict cost countries crisis damage economic effective Energy Information Agency enrichment estimates flow flying forces Fordow foreign fuel global Gulf Hezbollah IAEA impact increase inflation influence Iran’s nuclear program Iranian nuclear program Iraq Iraqi IRGC Islamic Republic Israel Israeli Israeli strike Kuwait Lebanon major Middle East military action million barrels missile Natanz National nuclear facilities nuclear Iran nuclear weapons Obama Oil Exports oil facilities oil markets oil prices operations option patrols percent pipeline policymakers political production reduce refineries regime change regime’s region response risk Russia sabotage sanctions sanctions against Iran Saudi Arabia Security Shahab-1 Shia Shifrinson significant Strait of Hormuz strategic strike on Iran Syria tankers targets Tehran threat tion trade Turkey Turkmenistan United uranium vulnerable Wikileaks