Anticipating a Nuclear Iran: Challenges for U.S. SecurityColumbia University Press, 17/12/2013 - 272 من الصفحات This volume is based on the assumption that Iran will soon obtain nuclear weapons, and Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr. develop alternative models for assessing the challenges of a nuclear Iran for U.S. security. Through three scenario models, the book explores the political, strategic, and operational challenges facing the United States in a post–Cold War world. The authors concentrate on the type of nuclear capability Iran might develop; the conditions under which Iran might resort to threatened or actual weapons use; the extent to which Iran's military strategy and declaratory policy might embolden Iran and its proxies to pursue more aggressive policies in the region and vis-à-vis the United States; and Iran's ability to transfer nuclear materials to others within and outside the region, possibly sparking a nuclear cascade. Drawing on recent post–Cold War deterrence theory, the authors consider Iran's nuclear ambitions as they relate to its foreign policy objectives, domestic politics, and role in the Islamic world, and they suggest specific approaches to improve U.S. defense and deterrence planning. |
المحتوى
1 | |
2 The Deterrence Dynamics of an Iran with Nuclear Weapons | 26 |
3 Considerations Influencing Irans Nuclear Emergence | 56 |
What Type of Nuclear Force? | 74 |
5 Implications for US Strategic and Operational Planning | 93 |
6 US Deterrence Planning in the Event of an Iranian Nuclear Breakout | 114 |
7 Dealing with a Nuclear Iran and Asymmetric Challenges | 141 |
8 US Deterrence Planning and Iran | 153 |
Notes | 163 |
215 | |
طبعات أخرى - عرض جميع المقتطفات
عبارات ومصطلحات مألوفة
activities adversary Afghanistan Aggressive Iran model Ahmadinejad al-Qaeda allies Arab asymmetric attack Ayatollah Ayatollah Khamenei ballistic missile bomb challenges China civilian conventional country’s crisis cross the nuclear cyberwarfare declaratory policy deployment deterrence planning deterrence theory efforts elements escalation extended deterrence facilities foreign policy Gulf region Hezbollah IAEA influence infrastructure Iran’s leadership Iran’s nuclear Iran’s nuclear development Iran’s nuclear programs Iran’s nuclear weapons Iranian nuclear Iraq Iraq’s IRGC Islamic Israel Israeli Middle East military missile defenses Natanz NATO NATO’s nonnuclear nonstate armed groups North Korea nuclear capability nuclear force nuclear Iran nuclear threshold nuclear weapons capability operations options Pakistan Persian Gulf political posture potential proliferation Qods Force retaliation Russia sanctions Saudi Arabia Shahab-3 Shi’ite Shia Soviet Union Strait of Hormuz Supreme Leader Syria Taliban targets Tehran terrorist threat tion U.S. deterrence U.S. forces United Unstable Iran warfare warhead weap