Remittances and Development: Lessons from Latin America

الغلاف الأمامي
Pablo Fajnzylber, J. Humberto Lopez
World Bank Publications, 08‏/02‏/2008 - 408 من الصفحات
Workers' remittances have become a major source of financing for developing countries and are especially important in Latin America and the Caribbean, which is at the top of the ranking of remittance receiving regions in the world. While there has been a recent surge in analytical work on the topic, this book is motivated by the large heterogeneity in migration and remittance patterns across countries and regions, and by the fact that existing evidence for Latin America and the Caribbean is restricted to only a few countries, such as Mexico and El Salvador. Because the nature of the phenomenon varies across countries, its development impact and policy implications are also likely to differ in ways that are still largely unknown. This book helps fill the gap by exploring, in the specific context of Latin America and Caribbean countries, some of the main questions faced by policymakers when trying to respond to increasing remittances flows. The book relies on cross-country panel data and household surveys for 11 Latin American countries to explore the development impact of remittance flows along several dimensions: growth, poverty, inequality, schooling, health, labor supply, financial development, and real exchange rates.
 

المحتوى

FIGURE 26 Share of Households Receiving Remittances 2001
31
FIGURE 27 Households Receiving Remittances by Income Distribution Quintile
32
FIGURE 28 Households Receiving Remittances by Quintile of Nonremittances Income Distribution
34
FIGURE 29 Households Receiving Remittances by Quintile of Total Income Distribution
35
FIGURE 210 Educational Characteristics of Households Receiving Remittances
37
Table 23 Percentage of Households with Migrants by Average Years of Adult Education 1665 Years Old in the Household
38
FIGURE 211 Average Annual Amount Reported by Recipients
39
FIGURE 212 Income Share of Remittances by Income Quintile Recipients Only
41
FIGURE 213 Income Share of Remittances by Income Quintile All Households
42
FIGURE 214 Income and Remittances Distribution by Income Quintile
43
FIGURE 215 BOPBased versus Household SurveyBased Remittances
46
PATTERNS AND DETERMINANTS
51
FIGURE 31 Latin American Migrants
54
FIGURE 32 Major Destinations of Latin American Migrants
57
FIGURE 33 Major European Destinations of Latin American Migrants 2000
58
FIGURE 35 Current Age Profile of Latin American Migrants
59
FIGURE 36 Education Profile of 1990s Latin American and Caribbean Migrants Age 22 and Older
60
FIGURE 37 Education Profile of Native Population versus Migrants from Latin American and Caribbean Countries
61
FIGURE 38 Share of Migrants in the United States with Tertiary Education
63
FIGURE 39 Share of Educated Workers Who Migrate
64
FIGURE 310 Share of CollegeEducated Workers in the United States Who Received Their Degrees at Home
65
FIGURE 312 Occupational Distribution of Migrants in the United States Older than 22 at Time of Arrival Current Age 22+
66
FIGURE 313 Occupational Distribution of Migrants in the United States Who Were Younger than 17 at Time of Arrival Current Age 22+
67
Home Tertiary Educated Migrants in the United States Who Were Older than 25 on Arrival
68
FIGURE 315 Remittances as a Share of GDP
70
FIGURE 316 Remittances Received Per Capita
71
FIGURE 318 Migrants as a Share of Population
72
FIGURE 319 Share of Female Migrants
73
FIGURE 320 Share of College Graduate Migrants
74
FIGURE 321 Ratio of Bank Deposits to GDP
75
Table 3B1 Regression Results for Determinants of Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean Ratio of Remittances to GDP 19862000
83
Table 3B2 Regression Results for Determinants of Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean Log of Remittances per Capita 19862000
84
Table 3B3 Regression Results for Determinants of Remittances to Latin America and Caribbean Log of Remittances 19862000
85
4 DO REMITTANCES LOWER POVERTY LEVELS INLATIN AMERICA?
87
Table 41 Income Gini Coefficient Before and After Remittances
89
Table 42 Poverty Head Counts Before and After Remittances
91
Table 43 Income Gini Coefficient in Counter factual Scenario of No Migration
95
Table 44 Poverty Head Counts in Counter factual Scenario of No Migration
97
Table 45 Poverty Head Counts among Recipient Households in Counter factual Scenario of No Migration
101
Table 46 The Impact of Remittances on Growth and Changes in Inequality
105
Table 47 Poverty Elasticity of Remittances in Latin America
108
FIGURE 41 Scatter Plots of Remittances Growth and Investment
111
Table 48 Remittances and Economic Growth
112
Table 49 Remittances and Investment
116
Table 410 The Cyclical Behavior of Remittances in Latin America
119
FIGURE 42 Remittances Sensitivity to Output Fluctuations in Recipient Countries
120
FIGURE 43 Remittances Sensitivity to Output Fluctuations in Sending Countries
121
FIGURE 45 The Response of Remittances to Macroeconomic Crises
123
Table 411 Remittances and Growth Volatility
124
Table 412 Volatility Effects of External and Policy Shocks by Remittances Levels
126
EVIDENCEFOR LATIN AMERICA
133
FIGURE 51 Differences in Savings Rates by RemittancesRecipient Status
135
Table 51 Savings Rates by Income Quintile and Remittances Recipient Status
137
FIGURE 52 Expenditure Patterns by RemittancesRecipient StatusRural Regions
140
FIGURE 53 Expenditure Patterns by RemittancesRecipient StatusUrban Regions
141
Table 52 Access to Remittances and Expenditure Shares
142
Table 53 Remittances and Expenditure Shares by Counter factual Household Income Quintiles
144
Mexico
147
Nicaragua
148
FIGURE 56 Average Years of Education for Adults 2265 Years Old
150
Table 54 Access to Remittances and Childrens EducationOLS
152
Table 55 Remittances and Childrens Education by Mothers Education
153
Guatemala
157
Table 56 Remittances and Health Outcomes
159
Table 63 Factors that Might Affect the Impact of Remittances on Financial Development
186
Table 64 Testing for Differences in the Use of Banking Services by Remittances Recipients and Nonrecipients
190
Probit Estimations for El Salvador
193
Fixed Effects Probit and Instrumental Variables Probit Estimations for El Salvador
194
OLS Estimations Clustered by State
197
Instrumental Variables Estimations
199
7 REMITTANCES THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE AND THE DUTCH DISEASE PHENOMENON
217
Table 71 Remittances and the Real Exchange Rate
224
FIGURE 71 Remittances and the Real Exchange Rate
226
FIGURE 72 Exports and the Real Exchange Rate
227
FIGURE 73 Imports and the Real Exchange Rate
229
Table 72 The Impact of Remittances on the Real Exchange Rate
233
Table 73 The Impact of Remittances on Real Exchange Rate Misalignment
235
Table 74 Macroeconomic Results of a Remittances Shock and a Payroll Tax for Jamaica
238
Table 7B1 List of Accounts for Jamaica SAM 2002
245
FIGURE 7B1 Production Structure of the Jamaica CGE Model
247
8 DO CONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFER PROGRAMS CROWD OUT PRIVATE TRANSFERS?
253
BOX 81 CONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFERS IN COLOMBIA
257
Table 81 Summary Statistics of Eligible Households Surveyed in Nicaragua in 2000 2001 and 2002
261
Table 82 Summary Statistics of Eligible Households Surveyed in Honduras in 2000 and 2002
266
Private Food Transfer Remittances and Food or Money Donation from Nongovernmental Organizations
268
Private Food Transfer Remittances and Food or Money Donation from Nongovernmental Organizations
270
Table 85 The Impact of RPS on the Incidence of Receiving Remittances
272
Table 86 The Impact of PRAFII on the Incidence of Receiving Remittances
274
Table 87 The Impact of RPS on the Amount of Remittances Received
276
Table 88 The Impact of PRAFII on the Amount of Remittances Received
278
Table 89 The Impact of RPS on the Incidence of Receiving Food
280
Table 810 The Impact of PRAFII on the Incidence of Receiving Food
282
Table 811 The Impact of PRAFII on the Amount of Food Received
284
Table 812 The Impact of RPS on the Incidence of Receiving Food Money Transfer or Both from Nongovernmental Organizations
286
Table 813 The Impact of PRAFII on the Incidence of Receiving Food Money Transfer or Both from Nongovernmental Organizations
288
9 FACILITATING REMITTANCES FLOWS AND SECURITY IN THE SYSTEM
299
BOX 91 The General Principles for International Remittances Services
301
BOX 92 The AMLCFT Regulations
303
BOX 93 Regulatory Requirements in the United States as Barriers to Entry
305
FIGURE 91 Channels for Remittances 2004
310
Table 91 Types of Remittances Service and Accessibility Considerations
311
FIGURE 92 Reasons for Not Having a Bank Account
312
Table 92 Requirements to Open a Bank Account in the United States March 2006
313
FIGURE 93 Perceptions on Why the Total Cost of Remittances Transfers Are Higher than the Flat Commissions Paid by Senders
314
FIGURE 94 Cost of Sending a US 300 Remittance from Chicago to Mexico March 2006
315
FIGURE 95 Fees as Percentage of RemittanceIllinoisto El Salvador March 2006
316
BOX 94 Money in Minutes or Next Day
317
BOX 95 Official Efforts for Transparency in the USMexico Remittances Market
318
FIGURE 97 Range of Prices of Remittance Services in the USMexico Corridor 19992005 Percent of Amount Sent
320
BOX 96 Linking Credit Unions through the International Remittance Network IRnet
322
THE ROLE OF COMPLEMENTARY POLICIES
335
The Bracero Program
336
FIGURE 101 Secondary Net Enrollment Deficit in Selected Latin American Countries
339
FIGURE 102 Institutional and Per Capita Income Levels
340
FIGURE 103 Domestic Credit to the Private Sector
343
BOX 102 Control Set in the Empirical Model
345
Table 101 Remittances Education and Economic Growth
346
Impact of a One Standard Deviation Increase in Remittances
348
Table 102 Remittances Institutions and Economic Growth
351
Impact of a One Standard Deviation Increase in Remittances
354
Table 103 Remittances the Financial Sector and Economic Growth
355
Table 104 Remittances the Policy Environment and Economic Growth
359
Growth Impact of a One Standard Deviation Increase in Remittances
361
BOX 103 Control Set in the Empirical Model for the Investment Rate
362
Table 105 Remittances Complementary Policies and Investment
363
Index
369
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